MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0188b9374514a93f650c3c33edd60ae51a12084e21e47fdee740b8ba6146069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 51,518$23,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,181.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 42,950$23,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,429.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 10,974$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.78 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 52c | 9,906$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.81 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 9,638$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 9,615$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 47c | 7,360$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 2,489$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.1 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.99 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 68c | 1,647$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.24 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,147$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 68c | 960.76$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 832.71$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 42c | 645.73$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.39 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 624.72$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 62c | 417.63$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 399$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 47c | 362.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 356.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.78 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 51c | 342.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 320.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 295.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 48c | 219.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 53c | 199.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 76c | 178.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 68c | 166.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 153.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 125.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 32c | 115.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 47c | 112.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Under | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Under | 77c | 98.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 68c | 81.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 53c | 75.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…1209backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 74c | 60.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 59c | 59.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 36c | 58.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 35c | 54.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 59c | 54.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 59c | 36.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 54c | 36.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Over | 46c | 36.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 35c | 33.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 59c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…3ef3backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 53c | 22.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 47c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…0c2bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Under | 63c | 16.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 68c | 14.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…a931backed Under | 80c | 14.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.