TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x131a…e4d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT5170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$17.66
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$4.09
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138%+$28.06
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$12.37
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$12.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$12.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.39
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$13.57
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$9.31
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+89%+$24.3
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.63
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+57%+$7.71
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$5.17
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.84
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$31.95
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$10.88
LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+46%+$4.73
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.66
LoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$14.06
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.49
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$9.54
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$19.46
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$27.21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$6.68
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$13.46
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+50%+$5
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$23.46
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$12.31
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$23.78
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+197.9%+$33.19
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$4.58
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$20.6
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$6.65
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$9.44
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$8.15
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$6.3
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$3.87
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$9.42
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$6.55
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$7.85
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
ITF Gran Canaria: Berfu Cengiz vs Francesca Curmibacked Francesca Curmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$11.44
ITF Hechingen: Tena Lukas vs Eva Bennemannbacked Tena Lukas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galanbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$10.85
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$4.75
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$8.15
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.81
San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanenbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$4.63
ITF Aldershot: Sayaka Ishii vs Hikaru Satobacked Sayaka Ishii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
ITF Dublin: Britt Du Pree vs Jodie Anna Burragebacked Britt Du Pree · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+168.2%+$21.95
Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$15.95
ITF Bali: Yusuke Takahashi vs Alexander Changbacked Yusuke Takahashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$4.71
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Luciano Darderibacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.5
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$7.01
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuelbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5
ITF Wetzlar: Ivan Gakhov vs Emilien Demanetbacked Ivan Gakhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$18.6
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$30.08
San Marino: Juan Carlos Prado vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+194%+$490.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+433.8%+$620.94
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$181.31
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+321.8%+$35.06
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.66
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.22
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$4.96
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$11.09
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+215.1%+$31.51
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$16.28
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Cbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$21.47
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Dota 2: Enjoy vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$15.65
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$22.41
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$49.68
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$8.36
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$11.83
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$9.7
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$4.15
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$8.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$21.45
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$2.9
Tobyl FK vs. FK Panevėžys: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$9.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.1
Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Perth Scorchers XIbacked Perth Scorchers XI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+84%+$11.42
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$45.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$9.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$7.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.