Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf004dd12100871ffc866110d12060a8bfeb5b7c495fe2688e85e1722a758465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Team Resilience, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 41c | 96,073$39,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,830.59 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 54c | 13,860$7,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,391.02 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Resilience | 46c | 10,894$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.82 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked PlayTime | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PlayTime | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.97 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PlayTime | 60c | 7,729$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.33 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PlayTime | 54c | 7,099$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.75 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 55c | 6,798$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PlayTime | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.34 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed PlayTime | 74c | 5,727$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.88 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 62c | 4,813$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.16 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PlayTime | 63c | 3,819$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.27 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PlayTime | 57c | 3,473$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.37 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PlayTime | 60c | 3,340$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.98 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked PlayTime | 53c | 2,950$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PlayTime | 66c | 2,106$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.49 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Resilience | 41c | 2,051$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.67 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed PlayTime | 55c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 1,631$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.39 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PlayTime | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Resilience | 34c | 1,551$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.41 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PlayTime | 56c | 1,551$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.64 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked PlayTime | 79c | 1,526$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed PlayTime | 57c | 1,522$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.54 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Resilience | 34c | 1,459$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…ffd1backed PlayTime | 59c | 1,430$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 69c | 1,400$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.3 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Resilience | 28c | 1,365$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…52fabacked PlayTime | 58c | 1,351$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…2b57backed PlayTime | 56c | 1,335$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked PlayTime | 74c | 1,318$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.75 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Resilience | 43c | 1,224$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.5 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,090$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.67 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Team Resilience | 46c | 1,085$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 79c | 1,079$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PlayTime | 59c | 1,060$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.84 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked PlayTime | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Resilience | 52c | 967.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked PlayTime | 57c | 965.92$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.92 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Team Resilience | 38c | 965.87$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked PlayTime | 50c | 933.26$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed PlayTime | 50c | 920$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed PlayTime | 55c | 909.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 49c | 899.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed PlayTime | 73c | 891.35$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PlayTime | 72c | 851.01$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed PlayTime | 59c | 849.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.51 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Team Resilience | 45c | 809$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PlayTime | 62c | 749.11$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Resilience | 37c | 668.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PlayTime | 63c | 642.8$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.81 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PlayTime | 50c | 595.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.65 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…e965backed Team Resilience | 50c | 595.1$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…8900backed PlayTime | 55c | 580.6$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed PlayTime | 61c | 567.18$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 64c | 547.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.57 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Resilience | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PlayTime | 57c | 500$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 46c | 499.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Resilience | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed PlayTime | 52c | 452.01$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked PlayTime | 67c | 445.45$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked PlayTime | 63c | 444.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Resilience | 44c | 424.12$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PlayTime | 55c | 416.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.46 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PlayTime | 65c | 404.01$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Team Resilience | 33c | 401.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 63c | 394.21$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed PlayTime | 79c | 390$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed PlayTime | 63c | 357.73$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked Team Resilience | 9c | 353.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed PlayTime | 58c | 349.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed PlayTime | 69c | 349.46$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed PlayTime | 49c | 343.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Team Resilience | 43c | 304.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Team Resilience | 46c | 297.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Team Resilience | 46c | 297.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed PlayTime | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 60c | 260.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Team Resilience | 45c | 255.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Resilience | 26c | 252.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PlayTime | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Resilience | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed PlayTime | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 56c | 249.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…5c82backed Team Resilience | 22c | 245$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked PlayTime | 73c | 234.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 54c | 223.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Team Resilience | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked PlayTime | 55c | 210$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked PlayTime | 69c | 209.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked PlayTime | 51c | 203.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked PlayTime | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked PlayTime | 57c | 196.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked PlayTime | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PlayTime | 72c | 196$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked PlayTime | 56c | 193.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 186.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group BPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.