Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe01b2db4c5f121b5648f2f36a1c8e5f2e3abcbe5d890be528d60b832a697a292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Team Resilience, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 41c | 51,542$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PlayTime | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PlayTime | 58c | 8,421$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.5 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PlayTime | 67c | 7,529$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.87 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked PlayTime | 44c | 5,446$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.38 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PlayTime | 54c | 5,108$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.24 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PlayTime | 57c | 4,505$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.74 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Resilience | 42c | 4,182$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.78 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked PlayTime | 56c | 4,150$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.66 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PlayTime | 63c | 3,905$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.44 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 64c | 3,670$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.67 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 55c | 3,600$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed PlayTime | 57c | 3,535$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.95 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PlayTime | 73c | 3,511$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.34 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Resilience | 57c | 3,082$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.68 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PlayTime | 57c | 3,068$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.58 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PlayTime | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 2,894$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.82 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PlayTime | 57c | 2,672$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.95 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Resilience | 49c | 2,647$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.39 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 59c | 2,610$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.7 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 47c | 2,541$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 71c | 2,350$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.02 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 2,141$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 63c | 1,821$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.62 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Team Resilience | 58c | 1,781$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…52fabacked Team Resilience | 42c | 1,737$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Resilience | 36c | 1,581$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.59 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PlayTime | 60c | 1,506$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.86 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Resilience | 35c | 1,439$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.55 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Resilience | 33c | 1,405$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.83 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 1,323$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.35 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Resilience | 55c | 1,257$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.28 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Team Resilience | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.95 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked PlayTime | 65c | 1,123$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.33 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed PlayTime | 69c | 1,097$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.09 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked PlayTime | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 63c | 958.01$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.95 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 76c | 940.84$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked PlayTime | 52c | 934.61$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.61 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed PlayTime | 50c | 919.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PlayTime | 72c | 886.56$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed PlayTime | 57c | 878.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Resilience | 55c | 865.93$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.94 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed PlayTime | 54c | 828.93$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.11 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…8900backed Team Resilience | 51c | 771.49$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed PlayTime | 42c | 749.78$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.78 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Resilience | 67c | 747.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Team Resilience | 41c | 728.49$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.23 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked PlayTime | 65c | 724.78$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed PlayTime | 55c | 704.79$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Team Resilience | 30c | 690$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Resilience | 73c | 681.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Resilience | 44c | 648.85$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.21 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed PlayTime | 59c | 630.46$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Resilience | 42c | 621.18$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Resilience | 44c | 599.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Resilience | 44c | 590$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked PlayTime | 74c | 557.75$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed PlayTime | 47c | 538.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.05 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Resilience | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Resilience | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed PlayTime | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed PlayTime | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PlayTime | 43c | 443.24$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked PlayTime | 38c | 440$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.4 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Team Resilience | 40c | 417.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked PlayTime | 59c | 408.53$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PlayTime | 57c | 376.56$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed PlayTime | 41c | 350$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 61c | 349.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.09 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Resilience | 49c | 322.47$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Team Resilience | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Resilience | 35c | 314.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 313.63$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Team Resilience | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Team Resilience | 43c | 299.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked PlayTime | 35c | 285.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Team Resilience | 24c | 262.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed PlayTime | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed PlayTime | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PlayTime | 67c | 249.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Team Resilience | 27c | 222.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b014backed Team Resilience | 46c | 217.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Team Resilience | 43c | 207.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Team Resilience | 43c | 207.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Team Resilience | 42c | 206.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked PlayTime | 68c | 205.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Resilience | 37c | 205$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Resilience | 57c | 204.18$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 44c | 200.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked PlayTime | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed PlayTime | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked PlayTime | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed PlayTime | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked PlayTime | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked PlayTime | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed PlayTime | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group BPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.