TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed No35c12,773$4,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.5482542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes51c8,387$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.371827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c8,049$3,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,695.955,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes66c7,255$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.882,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c4,347$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.182,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes32c3,172$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.062462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+70.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c3,167$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4292235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c2,851$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.496846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No15c2,139$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.886460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb554…e50dbacked Yes75c1,956$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No61c1,757$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.784553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f1…92d2backed Yes72c1,580$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick77cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes60c1,520$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.211764.1%75 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No40c1,505$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed No40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+249%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No18c1,463$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.463630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes67c1,322$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.268155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes70c1,175$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.0326147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No39c1,075$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.88953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No42c1,072$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9414646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4337…661abacked Yes31c925.71$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…cb3fbacked Yes31c826.54$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.091145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes69c806.31$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6722548%108 W · 117 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No19c782.16$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.053435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes57c779.65$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.74143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes61c738.97$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes64c723.51$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6827251.1%139 W · 133 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Yes75c717.49$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.067100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8b…b723backed Yes78c554.23$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.642065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed No4c542.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.861643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+153.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No59c487.8$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.546243.5%27 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No34c486.22$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4913654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No30c476.49$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2424448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes50c447.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.253551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes72c441.14$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No39c421.07$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7616858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No54c365.1$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3814948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes59c360.57$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.267037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes68c357$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0513861.6%85 W · 53 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No29c348.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5725653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c339.84$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.011,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x283c…ba51backed Yes76c330$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba8…f50bbacked Yes76c327.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes35c320$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.191963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No49c318.03$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0613246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4619268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No50c311.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6119261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No35c305.22$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Yes54c263.37$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.163246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c258.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5882053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes25c257.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.814852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes61c247.5$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.339656.3%54 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes65c233.18$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2824348.6%118 W · 125 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed No31c222.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.432544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes25c210.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9212542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes35c203$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.32572%18 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed No28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b42…cac8backed Yes75c199.63$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed Yes63c199$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.635100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes18c194.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4417630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee41…2e5cbacked Yes66c194.41$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.41560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No79c175.85$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.926349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No48c163.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4826148.7%127 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes62c161.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.951250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes38c148$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0411952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No36c147.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3137153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No37c147$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4325155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes72c143.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.79350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No37c142.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4770842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes68c139.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8412655.6%70 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f8…ed4ebacked Yes72c136.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+69.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes67c135.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8811861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7960…fe2abacked Yes72c133.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.44580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No75c124.57$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2330049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No33c114.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8830548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef2…2ae7backed Yes77c107.79$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No47c101.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9623761.6%146 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No36c100.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.381,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes72c100.07$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.071963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes38c100.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.884841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204330.2%13 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8814440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No55c99.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes22c94.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.74238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4636…02a0backed Yes67c93.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387d…e8cfbacked Yes65c91.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No39c90.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7223660.2%142 W · 94 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No32c89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2818955%104 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985b…2c2fbacked Yes65c88.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Yes61c85.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.213534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes68c72.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.446765.7%44 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b4…470dbacked No33c68.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes17c66.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.17749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed No38c66.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.342770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Yes31c66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.54850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.