Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29abf9ac342fea62dba2d2e377c33bde9b5d881e93372f9699bce09b8c35e603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 18,347$5,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,606.3 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 6,842$5,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.15 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 4,305$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 66c | 3,031$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.27 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 2,700$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,606$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 68c | 2,390$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.66 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,078$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.14 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 68c | 2,035$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.13 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 67c | 1,852$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.7 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 1,380$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.24 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 25c | 1,302$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 1,087$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 715.81$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 641.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 638.2$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 565.25$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 548$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 70c | 536.07$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 512.71$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 453.83$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 386$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 337.17$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 21c | 260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 67c | 180.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 65c | 171.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 22c | 170.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 157.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 152.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 20c | 148.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 75c | 144.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 75c | 141.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 72c | 125.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 107.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 99.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 64c | 99.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 21c | 90.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 74c | 86.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 77c | 86.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 77c | 82.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 23c | 79.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…236dbacked No | 64c | 75.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 62.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 80c | 61.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…9548backed No | 75c | 50.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 70c | 47.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 76c | 31.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 76c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…0767backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.