Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a4a0569025e80ba8c7b621e607395d60623fa99190dd646bb0efc81fbe9fcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 11,413$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.41 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 5,349$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 8c | 3,716$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.49 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 3,314$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.55 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 3,152$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.41 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,070$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Yes | 34c | 2,561$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 2,212$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.67 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,060$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 77c | 1,891$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 65c | 1,778$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.08 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 10c | 1,738$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.48 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.01 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 58c | 1,350$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 1,278$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.82 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,188$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.01 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 1,140$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 55c | 1,082$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 849.73$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.36 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 59c | 829.94$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.54 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 47c | 822.81$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 821.43$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.74 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 71c | 803.53$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 752.21$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 67c | 750.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 45c | 727.28$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 711.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.21 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 59c | 672$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 525$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 447.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 64c | 429.4$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 64c | 421.78$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 46c | 328.05$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 47c | 315.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 64c | 311.87$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 65c | 275.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 49c | 269.23$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 14c | 248.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 10c | 239.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 239.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…eb67backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 62c | 223.19$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 58c | 205.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed No | 41c | 199.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 10c | 193.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked No | 54c | 189.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 42c | 180$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 71c | 178$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 12c | 176$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 60c | 166.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 60c | 166.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 66c | 161.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 9c | 156.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 60c | 155.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Yes | 10c | 146.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…b47abacked Yes | 52c | 132$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…5a58backed Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 44c | 111.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 17c | 104.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 103.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 49c | 102.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…ed71backed No | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 44c | 101.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 19c | 98.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 12c | 97.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…62dbbacked No | 37c | 90.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked No | 43c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 48c | 87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 53c | 84.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 55c | 83.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Yes | 58c | 79.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 66c | 78.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 15c | 75.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 74.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 39c | 67.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 58c | 63.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 62.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 60c | 62.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…fcddbacked No | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.