TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9ef…eb67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$54
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$202.98
National Bank Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$21.65
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Xinyu Wang vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$17.08
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$62.66
The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wangbacked Julieta Pareja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhangbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Xiyu Wangbacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$57.49
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Xinyu Gao vs Harmony Tanbacked Harmony Tan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$23.59
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$1,497.48
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.97
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$816.6
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,432.51
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$400.42
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+255.5%+$160.96
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$79.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$16.06
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$236.43
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.55
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.5
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.64
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.17
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$31.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.07
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+159.5%+$175.43
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.27
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$103.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$93.41
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.