TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,372,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,632,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,372,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Yes60c428,540$255,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,386.952860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No23c162,899$37,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,687.93,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes59c157,866$93,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,677.0416940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No40c145,005$58,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,613.55947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked No40c126,877$50,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,134.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No41c116,942$47,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,946.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes60c100,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,0003100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No40c82,800$33,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,119.813641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c67,601$26,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,877.348545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No34c62,471$21,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,198.7312057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No41c60,000$24,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,599.9721237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No11c51,369$5,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,696.072,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed Yes60c50,353$30,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,141.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes60c50,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0008254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No40c41,000$16,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,399.944544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293e…4717backed Yes52c38,709$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,708.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No40c37,680$15,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,071.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-62%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes61c36,317$22,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,166.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes60c33,333$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,333.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No40c33,330$13,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,3321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No39c32,839$12,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,808.423250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No40c30,279$12,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,144.522825%7 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No40c30,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.995269.2%36 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No41c30,000$12,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,299.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No40c29,877$11,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,950.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No39c29,681$11,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,575.654254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c28,261$10,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,106.032,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes61c27,753$16,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,823.821450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No39c26,214$10,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,223.282050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No19c25,485$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,856.031,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No40c25,359$10,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,143.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes60c25,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0005265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes60c24,863$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,863.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes80c22,499$17,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes68c21,178$14,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,800.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4229…2e67backed No42c20,051$8,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,421.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No39c20,023$7,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,808.791546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.923046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed No14c18,919$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No39c17,151$6,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,688.752347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c15,011$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.02195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes61c14,344$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,594.261050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No40c14,199$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No41c13,099$5,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,330.669054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes60c12,500$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes61c12,295$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,795.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes62c11,685$7,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No41c10,200$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Yes60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Yes61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes54c9,992$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.823125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No41c9,836$4,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.761526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No42c9,763$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c9,331$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,697.1276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed No6c9,271$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.271631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c9,255$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.621,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes59c8,475$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes59c8,475$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No42c8,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36012832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…bd59backed Yes54c7,407$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes60c6,708$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.651050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes60c6,466$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,586.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No42c6,287$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c6,204$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.5344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No42c6,153$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.759754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5206858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No42c5,952$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.841127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No41c5,900$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4191931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No24c5,880$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.032128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c5,747$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.3327644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No40c5,720$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.581118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No41c5,444$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No41c5,285$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e19…ac9ebacked No41c5,160$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes59c5,080$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes60c5,061$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.294573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefe8…7efabacked Yes59c5,012$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0508124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fde…b3aabacked No42c4,965$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…69a8backed No42c4,911$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c4,880$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.6843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0780…b0e9backed No42c4,867$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes60c4,833$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No51c4,679$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7947…3781backed Yes59c4,676$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…8a83backed No41c4,473$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No39c4,397$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.644553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c4,239$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.8991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6404250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Yes60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9202100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No40c4,000$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.992133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No40c3,700$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4801526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.25448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.