TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d95…fe91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$1,353.2
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,171.68
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,515Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,997.67
Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$547.86
Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.86
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,778Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$1,520.25
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$714.26
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$1,421.18
Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$63.05
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$959.18
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.97
Will Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$1,094.84
Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$16.71
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.63
Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$84.83
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$483.73
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.64
SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$110.7
Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$1,570.72
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+166.4%+$1,971
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$201.16
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.98
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,575
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,624Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$3,487.83
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$162.43
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$22.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$650.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$693.64
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.