TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$407,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$470,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No14c42,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,880.022835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No10c25,232$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.82,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No1c25,063$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No14c15,954$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.771,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed No5c11,064$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No3c9,106$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.372437.5%9 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No15c7,003$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.391,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed No16c6,944$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1111172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No4c6,316$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.482025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No14c5,671$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No15c5,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No13c5,055$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.711,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed No10c3,746$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No11c3,726$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.191060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No14c2,976$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9393446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No0c2,758$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.525752.6%30 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a5c…d35cbacked No15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No14c2,330$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.21637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No5c2,200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+164.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No8c2,194$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.771931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed No1c1,963$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No15c1,943$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4117249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked No3c1,780$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No13c1,697$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.91,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No13c1,663$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3989245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No2c1,333$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No14c1,304$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8629432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No15c1,211$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No12c1,120$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2219…a5e9backed No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No14c999.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No15c980.13$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.021,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No13c934.72$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.632,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No13c897.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.02333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed No5c877.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.862437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed No7c857.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.32425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No15c796.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.481643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No13c771.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4189955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851a…de17backed No8c762.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked No14c694.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No14c641.58$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.971,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed No16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No11c550$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29be…7675backed No11c518$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.983450%17 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No8c511.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8230548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No7c506.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6725653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked No13c470.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No14c418.48$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2247860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked No15c360.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.432254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2352…4c5abacked No17c355.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed No11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No14c315.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3382842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…6d30backed No7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No12c296.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2222544%99 W · 126 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked No10c269.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.99425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes78c269.79$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.088843.2%38 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f4…c415backed No15c260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No16c248.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8810843.5%47 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No4c238$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3736142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No11c234.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9218851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No11c215$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2911931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No21c211$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9320256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked No6c188.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No13c171.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed No15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc435…1923backed No9c162.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed No16c142.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.761030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No14c137.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-80.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc245…731dbacked No15c133.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No15c98.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8211053.6%59 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No15c98.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7639058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No15c93.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6756445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No15c89.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.542351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf5…4145backed No16c75.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed No15c72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1241…d325backed No16c68.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed No15c67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a9…b1bfbacked No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked Yes31c47.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+127.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No46c45.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab4…d09cbacked Yes54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.