TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa68d…eab5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+587.4%+$215.58
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.19
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$14.22
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$67.02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.06
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.19
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+142%+$56.8
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$33.82
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.07
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$14.91
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$44.81
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$12.22
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$17.72
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$88.24
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.98
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$51.63
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.94
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.05
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.96
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.24
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$35.69
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+181%+$100.56
Berrettini vs. Comesana: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$36.96
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$37.63
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+324.1%+$186.02
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$89.62
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.58
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.56
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.08
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$3.83
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$40.67
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$177.09
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.34
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$12.65
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.33
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$51.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$12.33
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35%+$26.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.3
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.65
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$46.49
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$50.24
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$24.22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$39.48
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$43.96
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+184.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$225.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$25.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.