TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,734,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,475,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,734,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over77c1,008,335$776,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232,000.3917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under21c155,201$32,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,592.333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over75c86,371$65,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,233.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over76c39,870$30,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,386.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over70c38,066$26,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,420.415552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c28,189$22,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,823.332,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Under26c25,006$6,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,501.467835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under20c18,417$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.521,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under21c14,618$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under15c11,906$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.781,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c9,423$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.192,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c8,374$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over76c7,747$5,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.3470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c7,668$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.421,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4c…fb48backed Under21c6,667$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under24c6,256$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.7171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under12c6,120$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under24c6,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under16c5,040$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.5844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under12c4,562$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Under22c3,870$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.388048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.158672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c3,756$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under24c3,637$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.1751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over80c3,500$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under6c3,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19519825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c3,462$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under24c3,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under22c3,333$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2231851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under23c3,200$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over79c3,154$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.341,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over80c3,001$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.122466.7%16 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Under25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75033549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6608941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under23c2,858$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.658254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over77c2,411$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.341,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under17c2,363$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.962,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over77c2,334$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.121,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under24c2,292$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55047235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Under9c2,055$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.711145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9930950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72e2…6610backed Over79c1,899$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.735560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under21c1,762$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over75c1,659$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.774178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over78c1,538$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4628258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over78c1,538$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4613933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under24c1,522$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under24c1,413$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under22c1,344$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9815846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under24c1,304$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8610356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under27c1,293$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1111952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under24c1,290$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.219224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under9c1,283$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4719946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…757dbacked Over78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.053357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e47…cefdbacked Over78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.054647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.823470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c1,250$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.823,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c1,250$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.883,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Over75c1,215$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6714347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under24c1,200$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under18c1,200$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5124136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under9c1,196$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6439039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over79c1,138$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6610261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under25c1,024$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under21c1,001$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.211,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c1,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd5…4390backed Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504065%26 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over74c999.92$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under24c999.37$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4430345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Over79c999$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.799770.1%68 W · 29 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed Over78c961.54$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.547856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Under22c934.95$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6931842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under17c829.88$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.722,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed Under25c821$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.257832.1%25 W · 53 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under25c794.4$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.658942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under22c793.9$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.661,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under23c761.49$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1429450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under10c741.73$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over78c705.13$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.139466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under26c701.33$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.424843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over78c679.49$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4922355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…fb7bbacked Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.033366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.