TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,719 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8725…eb10backed Over47c1,270$597 inWon+$672.9543145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c993.46$527 inLost-$526.533,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c600.01$318 inLost-$3183,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over47c571$268 inWon+$302.637251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under50c429.46$215 inLost-$214.7358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c358.23$170 inWon+$188.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under53c349.98$185 inLost-$185.4970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Over47c203.62$95 inWon+$108.629331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under54c163.06$88 inLost-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under53c150$79 inLost-$79.557252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under54c100.81$54 inLost-$54.072,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon+$33.8329338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under53c62$33 inLost-$32.863,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under53c50$27 inLost-$26.586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb931…b2a9backed Over47c31.91$15 inWon+$16.912245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe36b…f873backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$106454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.