TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$884,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$997,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $884,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over10c77,367$7,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,713.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c44,932$5,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,540.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x856d…9498backed Over0c43,270$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over15c29,591$4,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,431.71,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Over15c25,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9911647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over24c22,222$5,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,331.4514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under76c18,377$14,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,357.6665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over15c17,477$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.441,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c16,427$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over16c15,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under77c12,984$9,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.7734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over8c12,979$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.111,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Over0c10,046$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.087226.4%19 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1573…8aacbacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over6c10,000$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.5613811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over25c9,013$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.8559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over15c8,671$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over14c7,220$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.991,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under76c6,588$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.0718929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over12c6,451$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.542,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over17c5,909$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over12c5,014$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.081,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over25c5,002$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.3242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c4,534$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over12c4,150$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.812,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over10c4,079$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over0c4,072$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over21c3,678$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.832,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over11c3,321$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under79c3,302$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.519946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under79c3,000$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.0912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Over6c2,726$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2216033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over21c2,392$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over14c2,300$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32238526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under76c2,111$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.152,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over15c1,994$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over5c1,740$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.01626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over8c1,439$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.771,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under77c1,338$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7939039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over2c1,295$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7117448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over15c1,294$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0512117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under78c1,149$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over11c1,100$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over19c1,091$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1610537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c1,001$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.437451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over14c999.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1373735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over13c922.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3146546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over13c899.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under78c839.54$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.544148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over25c832$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20823747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Over5c791.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.143727%10 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over9c752.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.711839.8%47 W · 71 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over5c687.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.782,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Over15c649.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510326.2%27 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over15c647.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over16c550$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8832922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca84…6f8dbacked Over16c519$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.047138%27 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over15c515.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.931,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over15c510.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.313,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Over20c499.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over5c492$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5822437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Over15c490$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.58432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over20c487.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.416150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over16c457.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.197022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over9c431$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.577051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over14c420.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.821,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over19c418.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Over8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328326.5%22 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under76c400$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.25162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Over24c391.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.816046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over21c363.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.590840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over19c356.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Over13c351.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.677634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Over15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.538924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over13c345.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ee…04acbacked Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cdd…58c2backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over10c322.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over7c302.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.613727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over9c287$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9741551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Over17c278.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711840.7%48 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over10c276.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9223540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Over19c270.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Over7c248.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over9c244.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0948937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ef…b3debacked Over9c242.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.682326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.