Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88d77d96e280316c86de534fc39ef6214d36d0884e00bc016adcb064a30cc552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 14,750$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 47c | 12,979$6,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,063.93 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 58c | 11,409$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.89 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…ca73backed Yes | 20c | 11,005$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…780cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,077$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed No | 52c | 6,339$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.91 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 41c | 5,950$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.55 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 19c | 5,337$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 79c | 5,178$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.4 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed No | 40c | 5,032$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.55 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…0e59backed No | 31c | 5,000$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.62 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,833$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 19c | 4,750$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.45 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 30c | 4,408$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.14 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked No | 33c | 3,976$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.92 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,829$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 41c | 3,694$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.92 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,167$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 65c | 3,054$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.37 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…9e22backed No | 39c | 2,687$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.81 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 2,547$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 2,419$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.14 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 60c | 2,291$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.45 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 46c | 2,223$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.55 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes | 13c | 2,188$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +14.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed No | 33c | 2,105$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.87 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…f522backed No | 40c | 2,004$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.16 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…49e8backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,849$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 54c | 1,810$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.43 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Yes | 35c | 1,725$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.26 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed No | 78c | 1,600$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.31 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…794ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,502$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked No | 45c | 1,500$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.46 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked No | 17c | 1,420$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.99 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,416$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,368$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d30…b016backed Yes | 12c | 1,200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 80c | 1,179$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…a8e7backed No | 34c | 1,160$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.72 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,082$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.36 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 1,082$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 26c | 1,035$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.67 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…bbaebacked Yes | 78c | 1,030$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…658dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,019$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…f1abbacked No | 20c | 1,005$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 75c | 972.16$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed No | 49c | 934.2$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.05 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 54c | 932.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 67c | 930.48$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.49 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 56c | 905.13$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.42 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…d208backed Yes | 39c | 889.19$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.17 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…0ef0backed No | 53c | 873.62$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.6 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 57c | 866.58$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa984…36d0backed Yes | 22c | 866.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…0c61backed No | 30c | 853.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 60c | 834.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…b6d3backed No | 24c | 824.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…91cebacked Yes | 6c | 799.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…734bbacked Yes | 64c | 792.08$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.54 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…e542backed No | 25c | 790.69$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.12 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked No | 51c | 779.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 4c | 743.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed No | 55c | 731.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed No | 32c | 699.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.29 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Yes | 67c | 696.98$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…ed6dbacked Yes | 71c | 657.86$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.74 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 52c | 649.99$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 42c | 647.45$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.34 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…6c92backed Yes | 54c | 645.26$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.37 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…7c42backed No | 31c | 637.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…927fbacked No | 54c | 631.85$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…ab27backed Yes | 73c | 615.15$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed No | 47c | 599.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed No | 34c | 590.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.04 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Yes | 42c | 584.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.38 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…64d3backed Yes | 3c | 575.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Yes | 54c | 574.11$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed No | 35c | 570.59$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.42 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 36c | 564.62$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.36 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Yes | 69c | 554.99$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.94 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed No | 16c | 549.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.91 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 19c | 538.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…4bc8backed Yes | 78c | 537.64$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.46 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked No | 56c | 531.38$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…0b68backed Yes | 57c | 529.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8202…f6a5backed No | 43c | 520.85$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.39 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…ebfabacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…0d9bbacked Yes | 57c | 484.66$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…3841backed No | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Yes | 58c | 446.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed No | 31c | 443.07$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.43 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 42c | 424.58$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.46 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.