TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed No68c14,750$10,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,680.154,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes47c12,979$6,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,063.9313330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes58c11,409$6,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,577.8917642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c6…ca73backed Yes20c11,005$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked Yes1c7,077$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed No52c6,339$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.9117636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes41c5,950$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.555740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes19c5,337$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes79c5,178$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.414030%42 W · 98 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed No40c5,032$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.5531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed No31c5,000$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.625717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes1c4,833$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.339129.7%27 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes19c4,750$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.454134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No30c4,408$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.1431545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked No33c3,976$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.9225445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes22c3,829$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82814727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No41c3,694$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.9224344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes19c3,167$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No65c3,054$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.3737242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2e…9e22backed No39c2,687$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.816100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c2,547$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No75c2,419$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.142,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Yes60c2,291$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.4511942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No46c2,223$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.5558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes13c2,188$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0918056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed No33c2,105$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.8735036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed No40c2,004$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.167626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be2…49e8backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes15c1,849$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes54c1,810$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.4310915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes2c1,800$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.827811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Yes35c1,725$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.2611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed No78c1,600$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3121166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30056541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc2…794ebacked Yes54c1,502$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.351546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked No45c1,500$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.4611042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked No17c1,420$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.9931611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes15c1,416$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes15c1,368$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104632.6%15 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d30…b016backed Yes12c1,200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No80c1,179$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2224541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…a8e7backed No34c1,160$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.724658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes10c1,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.220511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes48c1,082$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.362,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes27c1,082$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.852,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No26c1,035$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.671,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…bbaebacked Yes78c1,030$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b7…658dbacked Yes1c1,019$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…f1abbacked No20c1,005$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.34728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9956151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed No75c972.16$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7917736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed No49c934.2$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.0513736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes54c932.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002931%9 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Yes67c930.48$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.4914725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes56c905.13$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4227034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e63…d208backed Yes39c889.19$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.172213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a61…0ef0backed No53c873.62$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.610320.4%21 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes57c866.58$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49213237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa984…36d0backed Yes22c866.04$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e13…0c61backed No30c853.27$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.94751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes60c834.56$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…b6d3backed No24c824.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.71050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93b6…91cebacked Yes6c799.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.88431%26 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…734bbacked Yes64c792.08$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.543930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+100.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No25c790.69$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.125536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked No51c779.6$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.636023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.519825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes4c743.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7422914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed No55c731.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.016947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed No32c699.98$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.2927028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Yes67c696.98$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.582441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeaa…ed6dbacked Yes71c657.86$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.747055.7%39 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes52c649.99$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33811247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes42c647.45$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3415837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…6c92backed Yes54c645.26$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.373414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…7c42backed No31c637.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.084045%18 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked No54c631.85$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.057222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2955…ab27backed Yes73c615.15$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed No47c599.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3815147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cf0…cad2backed No34c590.04$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.0410040%40 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Yes42c584.48$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Yes3c575.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.387215.3%11 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Yes54c574.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31013447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed No35c570.59$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.428746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked No36c564.62$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.368853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Yes69c554.99$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.946738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed No16c549.37$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.9110844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes19c538.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f4…4bc8backed Yes78c537.64$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.464740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081b…1c6abacked No56c531.38$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.792060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09de…0b68backed Yes57c529.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8202…f6a5backed No43c520.85$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.393839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10518028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c3…ebfabacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b5…0d9bbacked Yes57c484.66$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.79128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-73.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3fc…3841backed No53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.718750.8%95 W · 92 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b7…fbcfbacked Yes58c446.65$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed No31c443.07$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4317322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No42c424.58$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.