TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,571,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,659,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,571,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 742 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c95,429$68,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,837.242,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over30c82,496$24,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,961.44025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under69c75,082$51,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,828.8451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c59,950$14,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,620.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over28c43,499$12,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,242.961,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed Under76c42,862$32,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,575.35850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Under79c40,686$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,00010057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over40c35,010$14,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,005.755040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c34,732$10,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,942.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under3c34,537$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.1724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Under79c34,042$27,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,058.922860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under69c31,085$21,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,434.742,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over37c29,782$11,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,675.8477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0da…1f80backed Under72c26,289$18,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,8871330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over43c20,534$8,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,737.052,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under4c20,444$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.6917534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under66c17,669$11,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,743.2774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed Under69c17,246$11,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,9001861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under2c16,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under72c16,346$11,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,794.437163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over32c15,072$4,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,264.261,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Over31c15,011$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,357.48048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Over23c14,666$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,314.9314250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over31c14,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c13,191$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over37c12,284$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,732.0939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over32c12,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,16027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c10,833$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3325125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over35c10,699$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,980.8564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under68c10,690$7,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,268.9613742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under64c10,377$6,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,682.636053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Over27c10,238$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,438.14742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under1c10,237$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under3c9,978$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.359742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over14c9,151$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,887.4951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c8,819$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3819218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under66c8,631$5,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,683.3937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over37c8,111$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.991,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over26c7,661$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,654.811,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over21c7,499$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.0913811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under4c7,432$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.998615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under2c7,000$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f3…b4e9backed Over44c7,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under63c6,923$4,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,34419946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under43c6,820$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.0844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under4c6,297$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3511227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over29c6,200$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.137944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under70c6,089$4,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.331,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over34c5,758$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,778.0436235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Over44c5,413$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.135364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under4c5,341$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6421946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under4c5,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7713542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under64c4,914$3,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,155.181,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under3c4,899$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6926647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Over31c4,839$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.714531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over38c4,817$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.5411637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Over32c4,688$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.55339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over28c4,685$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.321,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under66c4,453$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.7246230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over29c4,428$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.781,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under3c4,333$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.086728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Under68c4,258$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under3c4,248$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.39525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under2c4,167$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under69c4,166$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.5413461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under66c4,109$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.871,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under3c4,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under28c4,038$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.7641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under66c3,946$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.0298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over32c3,899$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.9832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over31c3,857$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.111,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under66c3,585$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3492,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under65c3,535$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over20c3,517$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9828133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over31c3,414$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.2935034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c3,181$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over31c3,123$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.6122813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c3,030$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.816150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under66c3,026$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.2418929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10012647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Over33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0108826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under66c2,965$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.1137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under2c2,933$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6117827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under63c2,909$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.821,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over33c2,668$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.0334731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under62c2,642$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.0431851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over35c2,578$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.4221641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Over39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.120633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57519850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under3c2,333$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under2c2,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under65c2,258$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.381,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under63c2,217$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.1611156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Under74c2,136$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.7221958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under4c2,117$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under69c2,048$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.111,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under1c2,035$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3519825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over37c2,005$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.8579149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Under67c2,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33011042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.