TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Under0c68,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c23,359$14,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,448.073,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Under34c17,587$6,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,018.216152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under31c14,444$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,477.6217642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under0c11,058$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c8,708$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.863467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c6,459$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.962,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over68c4,939$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under1c3,650$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under34c3,505$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.5644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over66c3,404$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.721,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.0724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.145947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under37c2,833$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9729740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under31c2,619$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.855137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over69c2,435$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.247167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under33c2,259$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.6244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under34c2,208$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.0723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over70c2,143$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8637223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under38c2,105$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Under47c2,048$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.3819332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under39c2,037$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.5424635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under4c1,993$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under41c1,946$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.2137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under2c1,883$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over59c1,700$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.5220150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under2c1,675$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.071,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.347639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under5c1,501$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over62c1,232$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c1,193$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over69c1,172$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.171,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d1…8e71backed Under45c1,110$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Under37c1,062$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under41c1,040$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4415040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under42c1,009$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.7816050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdae2…3151backed Under38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Under30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over62c967.74$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fc…6c92backed Under31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c880.07$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.052,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c861.36$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c832.38$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over61c769$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9127032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under2c749.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over63c746.03$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0313943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under36c699.89$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.92,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under33c675.67$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9719649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under30c666.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.995930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Over53c645.28$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.282343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Under31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over66c638$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c633.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over65c583.42$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.241331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under15c552.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.942,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under3c521$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.842,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over69c513.13$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.682,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over65c511$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20513155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over75c485.21$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.481,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over64c475.22$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.762,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Under3c462$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6415745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over64c443.98$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2143145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under7c433$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.192,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under44c411.48$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.217731.2%24 W · 53 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under7c395.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1972247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over68c393.33$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.97368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under3c376$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Under38c371.91$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9911044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66d3…ac9dbacked Over69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.323873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfca6…9b3cbacked Under38c360.53$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under4c360$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8b…ebe0backed Over56c343.96$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.344542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.986947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over66c334.07$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2427227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3315455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over69c329.1$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.021,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over69c328.09$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.741,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Under31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under38c319.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4228251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0efc…a581backed Under34c319.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over70c309.74$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.244,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3cf…9dc0backed Under32c301.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4912042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Under30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905020%10 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10512663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over59c290.42$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9633438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Over69c287.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7810132.7%33 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7113933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7137955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.