Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a9782f2d155676977148299277d90d62d98399f63c0ee3ae273126ff8416895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $596,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $740,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $596,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 97,731$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 76,984$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.53 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 3c | 12,541$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.82 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 0c | 10,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 5c | 9,585$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.97 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 5c | 5,924$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 6c | 5,015$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.91 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 6c | 3,424$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 5c | 3,374$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 6c | 3,353$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 6c | 3,025$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 6c | 2,727$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 6c | 1,968$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 6c | 1,849$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 1,806$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 7c | 1,465$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 6c | 1,199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 4c | 1,124$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 6c | 1,098$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…e7fbbacked Over | 6c | 1,083$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 5c | 983.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 973.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Over | 4c | 784.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 715.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ee…04acbacked Over | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 4c | 663.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b77…b9f5backed Over | 7c | 661.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 7c | 627$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 7c | 586.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 5c | 510.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 3c | 500.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 5c | 420.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over | 6c | 400.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 7c | 362.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 6c | 300.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Over | 5c | 287.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 6c | 260$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 6c | 254.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ec6abacked Over | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed Over | 6c | 210.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over | 7c | 166.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.