Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x185072e9518c37697ce5b1a124a7299df1499ada7118f35b925333eb505100ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 62c | 8,452$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.04 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 37c | 5,290$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.6 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 2,135$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,938$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Over | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Under | 62c | 783.11$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.53 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Over | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Over | 40c | 575$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 33c | 493.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.94 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed Over | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 37c | 450$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 33c | 357.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.58 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 341$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 328.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.42 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Over | 37c | 327.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.03 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over | 40c | 270$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 61c | 188.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 32c | 179$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 177.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 39c | 159.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…dbbfbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Over | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…5059backed Under | 61c | 113.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 60c | 108.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 40c | 86.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 40c | 76.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 65c | 55.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 53.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…1353backed Over | 39c | 50.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…0341backed Over | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 61c | 48.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Over | 30c | 37.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 60c | 34.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 61c | 32.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…2bdbbacked Over | 32c | 31.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…e170backed Over | 41c | 27.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 185 | 54.6%101 W · 84 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…a373backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 60c | 24.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 64c | 22.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 63c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.