TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Belgium (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Senegalof Belgium, Senegal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,818 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Belgium9c55,334$4,704 inLost-$4,703.82,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Belgium9c54,390$4,895 inLost-$4,895.16634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Belgium8c20,563$1,652 inLost-$1,652.223,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Belgium9c12,500$1,125 inLost-$1,1251,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Belgium9c10,000$900 inLost-$90074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Belgium5c8,031$403 inLost-$402.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Belgium2c7,661$120 inLost-$120.041,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Belgium9c5,162$465 inLost-$464.5823036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Belgium9c5,046$448 inLost-$447.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Belgium9c3,346$301 inLost-$301.1225844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ce…1276backed Belgium9c3,333$300 inLost-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Belgium9c3,000$270 inLost-$27038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Belgium5c2,725$130 inLost-$130.4337223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Belgium9c2,316$198 inLost-$198.221,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belgium6c2,059$134 inLost-$133.712,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Belgium9c1,667$150 inLost-$15029018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Belgium9c533.33$48 inLost-$4817919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Belgium10c500$50 inLost-$5018550.3%93 W · 92 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Belgium8c500$40 inLost-$4095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Belgium10c500$50 inLost-$5019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Belgium9c489.92$44 inLost-$44.193,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Belgium10c485.1$49 inLost-$48.517330.1%22 W · 51 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Belgium6c432.2$24 inLost-$23.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Belgium8c415$33 inLost-$33.268141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Belgium3c344.12$10 inLost-$103067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Belgium9c303$27 inLost-$27.2751315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Belgium8c300$24 inLost-$2437237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Belgium6c286$17 inLost-$16.881,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Belgium10c280$28 inLost-$2830032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f33…7af9backed Belgium9c222.22$20 inLost-$209043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Belgium9c188.44$17 inLost-$16.964932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Belgium10c178.05$18 inLost-$17.8142332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Belgium8c146.11$12 inLost-$11.6971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.