TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over22c21,542$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over20c13,441$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.714,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c10,136$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.743,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Over10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over10c7,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c4,435$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c4,427$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c3,623$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c3,276$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over5c3,132$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over14c2,536$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over40c2,488$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over25c2,361$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.312,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over41c1,951$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Over10c1,920$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19223236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over17c1,713$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.23315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over17c1,478$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.763151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over30c1,261$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3758156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over41c1,098$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over34c999$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6622437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x720a…6869backed Over11c865.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.184820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over21c840$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Under79c790$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.92669.2%18 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over25c786.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.992,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…339fbacked Over40c778.85$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over24c723.31$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.92,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c710.49$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.881,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under72c611.73$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfe…8527backed Over10c610$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under78c591.65$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Over40c545$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2182352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc896…2551backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over16c513.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.471,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Over10c510$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516113.1%8 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19014856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over8c472$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Over11c436.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over10c427.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.795521.8%12 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Over11c426.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.879917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over39c419.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.563630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11227028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Over37c399.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1468028.8%23 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over34c350$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Over10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under72c320$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.61,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over25c276.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.281,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Over25c276.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014534.5%50 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Over11c267.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over10c263.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over28c257$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.871,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb15…b613backed Over33c251.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over9c244.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9842710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over10c240.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over28c228$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8416725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under61c220.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8621937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Over17c211.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614638.4%56 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over11c209.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over20c190.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.498423.8%20 W · 64 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Over16c188.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over30c185.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf904…dd92backed Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cff…ce54backed Over41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under77c179$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.372,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over9c162.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over32c159$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.542,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over13c149.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffdc…f0bdbacked Over35c148.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…ac48backed Over41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010754.2%58 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca77…d7a8backed Over11c145.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over10c144$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.883,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f9…9f14backed Over32c137.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.874032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Over11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe67d…8180backed Over17c127$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.595612.5%7 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over17c118.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over27c117.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.131,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…2bdbbacked Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+61.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over38c113.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4329639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c111$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.192,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf04f…4da0backed Over39c109.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.95752.6%30 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over38c107.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4132740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under75c105$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under74c102$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.381,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe369…0515backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105614.3%8 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under68c99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over14c94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.