TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x635b…2bdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+61.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+624.3%+$93.83
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+647.5%+$97.33
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+228.3%+$23.01
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Croatia to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$12.21
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$2.53
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$2.88
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$6.61
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+211.3%+$21.34
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
DR Congo to score first vs. Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$18.1
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.23
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$93.14
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.38
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$12.08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$22.02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$14.38
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$13.86
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$28.15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$8.68
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29%+$7.25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$11.18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$9.24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$10.68
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$9.05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$9.13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$18.34
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$12.19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$40.26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$8.24
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$5.81
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$55.65
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)backed Blackburn Rovers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)backed Blackburn Rovers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$11.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+57%+$8.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derry City FC win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.