Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6985cc0f5090fd4d300f3e6b51cdcc575a6ff956c22879e3947c97cde033d7f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 8,629$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.44 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 7,968$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.78 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 2,978$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.89 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 52c | 2,241$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 2,066$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 54c | 2,042$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.38 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,890$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.36 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 47c | 1,688$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,479$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.35 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 54c | 1,312$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 54c | 1,114$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.44 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 1,024$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.09 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 939.2$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.03 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 929.05$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.41 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 706$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Under | 54c | 656$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 634.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 600.01$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.62 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Under | 39c | 423.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 26c | 300.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 201.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Under | 48c | 201.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 189.03$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 35c | 148.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 56c | 148.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Under | 17c | 147.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 144.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 143.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 38c | 138.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 120.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 104.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 102.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 78c | 93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 89.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 81.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Under | 51c | 76.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 51c | 72.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 72.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 46c | 70.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Under | 53c | 64.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 79c | 57.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 37c | 50.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Over | 36c | 49.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 35c | 48.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 38c | 44.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 52c | 41.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 46c | 39.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 49c | 38.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…2bdbbacked Over | 66c | 38.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 54c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 69c | 31.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 49c | 30.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…de68backed Under | 50c | 30.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 45c | 27.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 47c | 26.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 68c | 26.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 51c | 26.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Over | 47c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…7f53backed Over | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 54c | 19.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Lille OSC O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Lille OSC O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.