TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Angers SCOof Lille OSC, Angers SCO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,899 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Angers SCO59c1,609$950 inWon+$658.5122745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lille OSC42c1,155$484 inLost-$483.691,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Lille OSC28c199.98$57 inLost-$56.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Lille OSC43c58.14$25 inLost-$252254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Lille OSC43c33.03$14 inLost-$14.21471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Lille OSC43c33.02$14 inLost-$14.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Lille OSC43c27$12 inLost-$11.612556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f8…358bbacked Lille OSC63c18$11 inLost-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Angers SCO69c15$10 inWon+$4.654748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.