Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39679648ccfca0e9678c053ef52bc1b903bdfe13e30a9fab8a1e325df576342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 26c | 12,857$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.17 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 6,741$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 3,770$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.1 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 74c | 3,741$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.53 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 3,715$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.05 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 54c | 3,071$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 1,566$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,146$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.36 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,013$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 74c | 831.2$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 75c | 811$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 59c | 777$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 35c | 615.29$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.93 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 74c | 537$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 41c | 444$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 53c | 437.24$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.45 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 48c | 433.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Under | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 126.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 50c | 113.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 102.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 97.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 51c | 55.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…580abacked Over | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 50c | 45.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 42c | 43.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 58c | 43.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 42.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 26c | 42.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…4bd9backed Over | 59c | 42.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 45c | 38.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 37.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 56c | 28.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 44c | 27.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 75c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 65c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 61c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Lille OSC O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Lille OSC O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.