Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfceff9ab391644ef147764361beeb92a24c111e851f3634eadf75b244d91da30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 39c | 2,519$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.89 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 39c | 758.45$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.62 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 538.44$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 61c | 492.78$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.8 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 390.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 46c | 309.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.46 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 276$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 257.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 251$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 47c | 249.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 51c | 241$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 44c | 223$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 59c | 215.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 213.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 163.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 8c | 159.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 21c | 152.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 143.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 39c | 142.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 55c | 139.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 66c | 137$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 136.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 56c | 132.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 41c | 130.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 37c | 128$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 73c | 120.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 67c | 119.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 63c | 119.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 119$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 118.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 60c | 118.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 53c | 108.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 40c | 102.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 39c | 102.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 95.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 74c | 92.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 27c | 90.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 43c | 87.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 85.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 43c | 75.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…f2fbbacked Yes | 19c | 62.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 60c | 58.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 44c | 56.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 56c | 53.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 50.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked No | 60c | 50.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…02a8backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…ba17backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 66c | 49.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 49.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 48.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 61c | 48.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…8a39backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 62c | 46.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 35c | 46.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 41.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 38c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…2112backed No | 62c | 36.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 64c | 36.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 36c | 36.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 45c | 35.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 39c | 34.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…2bdbbacked Yes | 73c | 34.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 38c | 32.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 32c | 32.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…9c56backed Yes | 45c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 42c | 28.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 68c | 28.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…f8bfbacked No | 57c | 27.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 40c | 27.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…49c3backed No | 65c | 23.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…f582backed No | 52c | 21.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 57c | 20.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.