Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo to score first vs. Uzbekistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7855668fdae23f7b00249392cbd9e7584525fd86ab8331db8046b6fb86cb9b5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x635b…2bdbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 46c | 1,712$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.89 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 36c | 1,655$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.56 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,385$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Yes | 10c | 1,366$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 36c | 726.25$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Yes | 12c | 699.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Yes | 12c | 448.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…3d85backed Yes | 64c | 441.94$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 43c | 283.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Yes | 14c | 234.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 37c | 205.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 193.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 190$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…84aabacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…4c8ebacked No | 40c | 132.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 70c | 122.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 86.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…a388backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 37c | 64.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 37c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 37c | 33.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…0c5fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…ae6abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…9aabbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo to score first vs. Uzbekistan?this page
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Neither team to score first?No won
- Uzbekistan to score first vs. DR Congo?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.