Fifa International · resolved market
Uzbekistan to score first vs. DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa45a9e863d42692eed15324dd8319414f5adc47429d69c965b56ce61ce07d998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 0c | 12,953$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 1,751$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.57 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 31c | 1,575$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.48 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed No | 14c | 1,500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 69c | 809.76$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.93 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 600.71$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 30c | 330.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed No | 39c | 281.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 246$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 80c | 213.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 204.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 27c | 190$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 171$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…4c8ebacked Yes | 31c | 170.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 41c | 125.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 114.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 31c | 113.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 71c | 104.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 40c | 103.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 64c | 98.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…cba4backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 69c | 67.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 69c | 67.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 69c | 59.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 60c | 52.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 36c | 45.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 71c | 26.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 20.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 70c | 15.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uzbekistan to score first vs. DR Congo?this page
- DR Congo to score first vs. Uzbekistan?No won
- DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.