South American Leagues · resolved market
Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8f86f2b1261f298193dfc04b7dbc7e7f62a76e7433c0161805545af795edff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 71c | 419.34$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 258$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 29c | 257.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 110$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 99.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…2bdbbacked Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 22c | 86.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…bd81backed Over | 26c | 86.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 70c | 85.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 67c | 38.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 35.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: CA Tigre 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: CA Tigre O/U 1.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: Montevideo City Torque 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.