South American Leagues · resolved market
Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1f88164bcf247cdf6bb1a9793113525073cf53859b0534b1dcd9be611e04b58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 5,132$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 28c | 5,030$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.68 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 72c | 4,139$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.67 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 3,403$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.38 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 66c | 3,033$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.73 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 32c | 2,806$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.67 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 2,630$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.03 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 24c | 1,261$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,244$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 11c | 970.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 10c | 720$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 409.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 63c | 404.14$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 207.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 46c | 96.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 29c | 95.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 61c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 91.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 75c | 37.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 46c | 34.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…cb8cbacked Over | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…2bdbbacked Over | 77c | 32.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 45c | 24.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 79c | 15.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: CA Tigre 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: CA Tigre O/U 1.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: Montevideo City Torque 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.