Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia to score first vs. Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58af769c07665bd5b502c7e12518cbfa6e8dc4bb73154930f251cdadfde3b44c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 32c | 10,551$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.31 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 32c | 9,716$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578.81 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.91 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 68c | 5,647$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.32 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…5b61backed Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.93 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 68c | 4,683$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.04 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 68c | 4,229$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.56 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 4,175$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.84 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 3,559$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.56 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 3,506$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.52 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 34c | 2,485$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.11 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 2,271$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.21 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 32c | 2,234$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.12 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 2,071$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,975$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.22 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 1,867$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 1,828$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…42b0backed Yes | 32c | 1,647$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 32c | 1,488$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 59c | 1,103$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.07 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…2617backed Yes | 31c | 1,029$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.95 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.24 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…2088backed Yes | 32c | 899.69$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 841.78$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.57 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 36c | 833.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.78 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 753.19$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.59 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 635.71$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.09 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 68c | 588.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 479.98$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 67c | 462.5$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 452.16$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 68c | 391.8$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 384.49$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 68c | 354$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.77 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…00abbacked Yes | 36c | 351.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.73 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 68c | 300.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 286.46$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.66 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 47c | 280$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 25c | 278$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…b8aabacked No | 69c | 275.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 70c | 273$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 35c | 267.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 36c | 250.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 31c | 249.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 31c | 245.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 72c | 245$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 44c | 227.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 68c | 226.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 222$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 67c | 220$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 45c | 216$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 70c | 210$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 33c | 204.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 33c | 167.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 31c | 162.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 32c | 158.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…4712backed Yes | 34c | 145.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 66c | 145$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 32c | 140.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 29c | 138.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 32c | 120.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf99…045ebacked Yes | 25c | 118.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ef55backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 68c | 115$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 33c | 114.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…3f6fbacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 68c | 105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…18e8backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 31c | 77.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Yes | 28c | 71.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 67c | 68.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…82c1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 214 | 63.6%136 W · 78 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…794dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…6812backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…062abacked Yes | 27c | 57.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 28c | 53.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…9bc7backed Yes | 24c | 50.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 67c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia to score first vs. Portugal?this page
- Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?No won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.