Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d44136841d62e1c4f50e69867a69ea1dc808e827e36c30933b93151f8ba44e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 4,927$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 2,862$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,554$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 11c | 2,233$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.71 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 6c | 1,794$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 7c | 1,700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,467$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,085$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…e028backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 5c | 928.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 6c | 793.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…e48cbacked Yes | 13c | 611.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 8cpaid | +805.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 7c | 577.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 505.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…e8f1backed Yes | 6c | 470$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Yes | 3c | 419.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +622.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…df0ebacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb199…5145backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…34bebacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +11.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 19c | 215.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 23c | 210.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 6c | 209.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…72a4backed Yes | 10c | 209.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 9c | 201.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…658dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 7c | 199.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…8cafbacked Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 7c | 160.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d15…7a34backed Yes | 7c | 145.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes | 7c | 145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 18c | 113.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 17c | 100.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe144…fa7cbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d07…6555backed Yes | 21c | 95.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 23c | 60.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?this page
- Croatia to score first vs. Portugal?Yes won
- Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.