TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,377,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,627,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,377,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes58c294,141$170,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,539.2621343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No42c209,557$88,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,598.8756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No42c199,999$83,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,999.4910740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c182,240$104,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,546.612,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No44c143,299$62,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,720.1814139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes58c120,000$69,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,90023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c96,315$54,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,525.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes58c80,000$46,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,599.9942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes58c69,484$39,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,522.261,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes58c69,128$40,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,852.869446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed No42c69,000$29,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,324.442931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No42c68,400$28,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,727.9720448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No41c63,000$25,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,829.958046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes57c61,404$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,403.5118047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No43c58,410$25,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,116.36053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed No42c50,433$21,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,259.452352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes57c50,236$28,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,601.4415843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No41c49,999$20,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,699.7515950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No42c44,460$18,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,673.3318738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes57c39,818$22,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,962.212,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No42c39,749$16,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,694.737642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No43c35,400$15,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2226050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Yes57c30,813$17,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,249.797448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed No70c29,998$20,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,998.796152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c29,867$12,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,816.253,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No43c29,488$12,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,679.7620731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked No43c26,440$11,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,3698952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f16…bbd9backed Yes59c26,137$15,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,716.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes58c24,477$14,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,280.1811348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No56c23,530$13,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,145.371,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No48c23,000$10,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,931.937143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes56c22,207$12,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,684.8413543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No42c22,000$9,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,24020333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No42c20,474$8,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.082050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No42c19,000$7,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.8111031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…ba32backed No53c18,874$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+88.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No41c17,100$7,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,010.958631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes42c16,364$6,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,421.6420646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58bb…c690backed Yes58c15,789$9,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,631.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes57c15,000$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,449.996149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c14,035$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,629.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.9621937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No42c12,039$5,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,056.588940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes36c12,000$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,63517544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No42c12,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,04029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No42c12,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No42c12,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.937425.7%19 W · 55 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes42c11,532$4,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,672.9237944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No43c11,110$4,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.591,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No42c11,008$4,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,623.3621333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes44c11,000$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,16010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No42c10,991$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,653.022,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No41c10,415$4,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,285.5829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes58c10,362$6,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,352.0725228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed No43c10,214$4,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.024540%18 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes59c10,184$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.596728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No0c10,144$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.142,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No47c9,709$4,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,573.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No42c9,599$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.061,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c9,149$3,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,923.063,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes58c9,138$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.939549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes57c9,000$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.9723949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No43c8,852$3,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.334740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Yes58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.696848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89c…b71dbacked Yes58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.691984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No8c8,509$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.5875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes57c8,454$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,635.3913454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No42c8,170$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.2840655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No43c8,052$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.1718843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No43c7,100$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.232,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No43c6,736$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.2271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c6,507$3,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.861,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes58c6,373$3,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.276154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No43c6,207$2,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66919250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No49c5,672$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.2870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes30c5,644$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,945.7313151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No42c5,643$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.063438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes58c5,448$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.2610555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes57c5,299$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.5622451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed No42c5,190$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.777353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Yes58c5,172$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.414161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked Yes58c5,130$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.47445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10016647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked No42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.956246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Yes58c4,943$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.255046%23 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes58c4,657$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.95950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No42c4,500$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b4…213abacked Yes58c4,138$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.934748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Yes59c4,050$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.423834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes62c4,042$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.388235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9826445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9211755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes58c3,966$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.5215930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.