Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ecd7dd3107e78442a01298b7ba0952b8b1c27f509fba5f744bd3388512a91d

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,321 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x03c5…5f61backed Under	52c	3,389$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,746	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over	48c	2,867$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.8	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	52c	2,182$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.15	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under	47c	1,900$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.99	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	55c	1,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.97	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	18c	1,448$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.49	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	16c	879$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.29	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under	50c	861.98$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.99	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x202d…c3b1backed Over	48c	813$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.76	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	48c	780.75$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.69	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	69c	679.77$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.65	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa969…d109backed Over	45c	678.44$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.14	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	51c	577.82$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.07	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	71c	576$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.09	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	45c	533.33$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.33	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	72c	524.82$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.65	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	48c	479.89$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.56	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	48c	455.58$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.68	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a1…d982backed Over	49c	430.61$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.61	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Over	47c	424.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.25	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	51c	405.69$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.97	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Under	51c	382.95$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.49	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	65c	371.27$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.43	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under	11c	353.59$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.89	112	16.1%18 W · 94 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+56%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e6f…f8e8backed Over	45c	340$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over	47c	319.15$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.15	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed Over	52c	271.62$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.62	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over	48c	260$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.2	157	45.9%72 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	48c	249.67$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.83	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	77c	236$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.22	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	51c	210$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.28	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…b472backed Over	49c	209.99$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.1	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over	53c	189.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.86	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+10.8wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over	53c	189.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.86	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+9.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over	53c	189.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.86	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	+25.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over	53c	189.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.86	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+20.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over	53c	189.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.86	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+10.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Over	48c	177.72$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.41	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	45c	169$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.95	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under	52c	164.01$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.32	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under	54c	163.86$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Under	52c	160.69$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.56	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over	48c	158.31$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.32	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over	45c	155.56$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.56	96	22.9%22 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over	53c	151.7$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.3	113	60.2%68 W · 45 L	+22.2wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under	16c	148.02$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+12.3wins	+0.20per pick	16cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over	49c	146.8$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.87	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	50c	141.27$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.82	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	52c	123.67$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.75	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	10c	121.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	72c	101.34$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.08	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	48c	98.59$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.62	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cc…9986backed Over	45c	97.04$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.37	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	134	41.8%56 W · 78 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Over	47c	95.75$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.76	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Over	63c	79.36$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.36	200	56%112 W · 88 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0082…c023backed Under	35c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	49c	73.27$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.05	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	56c	63$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.72	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under	56c	57.4$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.14	254	54.7%139 W · 115 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	54c	53.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over	51c	49.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	47c	45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Over	49c	44.02$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.45	219	38.8%85 W · 134 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Over	45c	42.22$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over	48c	40.65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.14	97	34%33 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over	71c	35.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.43	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c6dabacked Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	55	69.1%38 W · 17 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	62c	32.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.44	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under	44c	30.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	49c	29.95$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.34	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	54c	26.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event