TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$488,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$498,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c185,695$69,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,334.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over70c124,059$86,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,841.4122139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed Over50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c27,281$13,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,387.2436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over70c25,053$17,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,537.114349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over69c21,763$15,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,016.4729740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under67c18,946$12,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,327.6144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c17,676$7,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,362.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under53c17,405$9,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,185.217642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over70c12,970$9,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,069.325040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.9813234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over70c8,645$6,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,010.751,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over69c8,627$5,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,952.6370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c8,150$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,696.182,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c7,643$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,342.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under31c7,432$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1155137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under73c6,148$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.4937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over40c4,839$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.2724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over2c4,711$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under30c4,166$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.21,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c4,058$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.771,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over29c4,036$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.8125339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under41c3,557$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.1641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under29c3,379$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.3120053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c3,317$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.72,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c3,194$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.412,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c3,072$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.131,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over44c2,679$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.5443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over39c2,481$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.5927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over41c2,390$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.8710537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c2,185$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under30c2,043$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.0324635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under32c1,509$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.123637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.93630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e48…2cb8backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under32c1,447$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.6144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over61c1,430$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8676947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under60c1,394$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.6316050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under70c1,377$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40929740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over69c1,159$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Under28c1,157$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.144639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f40…4383backed Under46c1,091$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.164240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over35c1,083$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2919329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under32c1,063$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.57237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Under30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over45c998.99$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.217930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f81…fdffbacked Over51c998.3$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.132737%10 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c62…06fcbacked Over47c958.36$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.432045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over51c894.08$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9815141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under34c889.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2128251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over40c844.96$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.512,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c802.67$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.823,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e67…e745backed Under79c792.69$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.812661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under32c750$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.2111247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bed…9fd6backed Under50c666.67$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.335431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under30c666.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.665930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under30c637.83$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4453,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over51c623.53$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31827655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over70c618.53$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.2329558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over70c600$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under52c598.58$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Over69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over69c578.72$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3235150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over71c563.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007648.7%37 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25024247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3557945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over10c471.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3712528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over63c454.59$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9821958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…7f1cbacked Over32c450$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1466232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over57c444.5$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4592732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under32c431.09$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.621,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under58c425.19$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.059233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under30c424.88$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.861,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over48c418.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20411042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Under32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27214242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c395.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.084,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66d3…ac9dbacked Over71c381.69$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under30c378.4$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.941,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under42c346.32$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.472,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under30c330.8$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.611,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Over69c321.12$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5736448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over69c319.48$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under49c306.3$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c305.04$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.672,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over53c299.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9912737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd400…4f68backed Over27c297.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.962339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over69c292$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over71c291.6$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.742,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.