TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c62…06fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$508.99
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.8
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$628.71
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$38.54
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.43
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.4
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$638.86
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.4
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,006.81
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,382.83
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.87
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$227.84
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.09
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$625.42
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.6
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$571.34
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+150%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$207.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$686
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.