Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d8155ca6ab92290c9c8e76475becc8ed5148e8d890eaaaa13d7befbad2d1c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 69c | 49,012$33,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,312.85 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 48,785$16,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,810.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 28,446$9,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,031.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 27c | 27,692$7,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,476.88 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 25,164$7,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,434.55 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 63c | 22,130$13,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,280.31 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 71c | 21,123$15,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,118.09 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 73c | 18,815$13,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 15,182$10,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 73c | 13,627$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.2 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Yes | 71c | 13,432$9,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes | 72c | 12,120$8,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.01 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 27c | 12,035$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.1 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 27c | 10,109$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.49 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 29c | 9,268$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.07 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 71c | 5,595$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.67 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 28c | 5,417$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.49 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 4,847$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 31c | 4,515$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.17 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 60c | 4,170$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 30c | 3,226$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.49 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 25c | 2,937$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.68 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 29c | 2,752$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 71c | 2,445$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.07 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.14 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 30c | 2,167$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 28c | 2,137$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.97 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 2,030$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 29c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.02 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,768$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked No | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…5f54backed Yes | 74c | 1,697$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 69c | 1,408$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.06 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 1,345$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.31 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,280$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.68 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 70c | 1,279$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.18 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 28c | 1,273$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 29c | 1,096$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 26c | 1,051$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 28c | 1,002$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 29c | 999.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 71c | 956.01$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 25c | 873.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Yes | 74c | 839.93$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.74 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 28c | 837.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.34 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Yes | 72c | 821.94$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…06fcbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 30c | 749.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 22c | 743.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 69c | 727.19$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 76c | 726.12$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.34 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 41c | 721.95$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 122 | 24.6%30 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 29c | 663.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Yes | 73c | 661.73$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.67 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 36c | 649.12$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.04 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Yes | 66c | 625.6$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.98 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 26c | 593$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…65cfbacked Yes | 73c | 591.95$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 28c | 591.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.82 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 72c | 586.7$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…d876backed Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 59c | 539.26$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 38c | 535.41$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.46 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 72c | 531.41$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 61c | 508.19$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…a0b1backed Yes | 63c | 507.94$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 27c | 474.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…fba4backed No | 29c | 459.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Yes | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 141 | 31.2%44 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 58c | 442.34$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 73c | 436.99$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 29c | 420.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 73c | 416.55$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 390.57$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 29c | 386.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Yes | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed Yes | 74c | 364.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 73c | 362.81$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed No | 30c | 344$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 71c | 336.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 65c | 330.49$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 78c | 327.65$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 29c | 326.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 66c | 309.01$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 73c | 308.22$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…de95backed Yes | 76c | 307.03$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil leading at halftime?this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime?No won
- Haiti leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.