Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc112ac375b3af1ee7c9c1d8d9a160cdbaff2c24ad865a4837c340d8d36fa441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 41,160$29,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,716.42 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 24c | 30,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.93 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 26c | 11,726$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 23c | 7,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Yes | 23c | 6,511$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 5,365$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.04 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 5c | 4,537$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 76c | 3,940$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 2,485$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 1,765$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,572$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.47 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 1,557$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,541$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 25c | 1,536$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.21 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 1,051$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 910.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed No | 74c | 878$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 840$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 76c | 827.48$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 25c | 802.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.67 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 76c | 785.54$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 23c | 775$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 633.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Yes | 33c | 606.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…70a0backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 591.04$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 23c | 524.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 74c | 501$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 496.44$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 76c | 474.96$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 23c | 458.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 75c | 420$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 25c | 400.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 66c | 390.47$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 344.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 30c | 334.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 34c | 328$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 69c | 307.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…f80cbacked Yes | 32c | 306.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 25c | 292$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 26c | 288.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 30c | 263.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 69c | 256$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 26c | 240$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 214.35$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 25c | 209.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 24c | 200.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…e331backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 33c | 182.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 182$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 76c | 167$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 18c | 151.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 76c | 143.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…fba4backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 24c | 136.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Yes | 25c | 130.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 38c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…f9fabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 103.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 34c | 91.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 78.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 22c | 76.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 75.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…61b6backed Yes | 29c | 72.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 19c | 59.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 69c | 55.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…6eb7backed Yes | 40c | 49.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 33c | 46.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…6839backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…7c8fbacked No | 74c | 39.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 202 | 24.3%49 W · 153 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked No | 77c | 37.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 36c | 33.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 78c | 33.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime?this page
- Brazil leading at halftime?Yes won
- Haiti leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.