TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92c1…244d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: Independiente Santa Fe O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.61
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.68
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$23.44
SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$12.56
CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.49
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$26
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$19.56
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.96
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.64
CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.72
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.67
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$43.41
Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$186.75
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$17.77
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+51.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.01
England to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93.69
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.17
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$339.92
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$43.24
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$164.94
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$90
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.58
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$7.08
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.57
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$72.75
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$553.28
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+487%+$2,606.68
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+352.7%+$1,788.73
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+302.9%+$167.95
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$188.85
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,309.47
Brazil vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.52
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.11
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$31.04
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.4
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+169.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$12.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.