Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0642fa2e3c6aa18045f4308ea9c8d7b8e051363e70f88d84a29c8d31ee5674b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 2,425$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.23 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 1,789$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.4 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 881.52$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.87 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 644.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.63 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 491.58$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 70c | 463.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 57c | 259.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 17c | 218.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 16c | 158.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 63c | 158.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 56c | 154.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 141.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 56c | 129.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 19c | 123.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 61c | 109.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…f83abacked Under | 44c | 96.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 60.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 56c | 59.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 58.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 48.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Over | 56c | 41.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 41.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 62c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 67c | 35.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Under | 39c | 29.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 57c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.