Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076938d05ef13114b7c7f166ddec7d226273fe98acddaa9f4d721c0cc8541022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf45…401fbacked No | 5c | 11,667$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 492.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 20c | 457.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 401.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 359.75$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 67c | 337.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 60c | 330.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 33c | 315.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 66c | 286.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 27c | 185.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 166.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 62c | 143.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 113.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 67.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 63.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 41c | 57.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 42.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 55c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed No | 42c | 28.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 50c | 23.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.