Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa991da3b48dac747581bd3fc0056672b5210acd03651a8a64c57506114cb99fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 4,155$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.19 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 53c | 4,114$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 2,090$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.79 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 66c | 2,011$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.93 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 34c | 1,715$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.18 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 48c | 1,669$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…029abacked Over | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,467$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.38 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 1,295$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.73 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0bb1backed Under | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 15c | 854.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +288.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 754.5$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Over | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 56c | 613$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.61 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 53c | 583.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 514.3$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.61 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 444.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 315.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Over | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 74c | 217.12$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 215.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 46c | 200.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 55c | 180.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 47c | 168.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 63c | 153$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 102.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 74c | 101.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 26c | 101$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 23c | 86.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 85.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 48c | 83.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 52c | 71.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Over | 55c | 41.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 51c | 38.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 37c | 29.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 43c | 29.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 55c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.