Mls · resolved market
Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2a919ea15b649a5c1235e864bd62a9323ed780bafc7241368a284acaa51a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta United FCof Charlotte FC, Atlanta United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Charlotte FC | 59c | 2,998$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.39 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Charlotte FC | 25c | 1,998$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.07 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Charlotte FC | 59c | 1,413$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.05 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta United FC | 46c | 1,391$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.86 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta United FC | 40c | 987.57$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.05 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta United FC | 73c | 923.14$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Charlotte FC | 24c | 850$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta United FC | 76c | 845.71$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Atlanta United FC | 41c | 644.73$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.46 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta United FC | 56c | 644.3$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.12 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta United FC | 43c | 626$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Charlotte FC | 44c | 445.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Charlotte FC | 62c | 386.85$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Charlotte FC | 23c | 243.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Charlotte FC | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Charlotte FC | 30c | 225$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Charlotte FC | 70c | 214.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Charlotte FC | 53c | 186.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Charlotte FC | 25c | 136.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…262bbacked Atlanta United FC | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Charlotte FC | 10c | 111.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Atlanta United FC | 61c | 86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta United FC | 42c | 85.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Atlanta United FC | 70c | 81.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Charlotte FC | 50c | 75.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Atlanta United FC | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Charlotte FC | 27c | 68.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Atlanta United FC | 40c | 68.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Charlotte FC | 67c | 65.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Atlanta United FC | 40c | 65.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Atlanta United FC | 23c | 63.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Atlanta United FC | 42c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Charlotte FC | 27c | 62.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Atlanta United FC | 72c | 52.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Charlotte FC | 72c | 52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Charlotte FC | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atlanta United FC | 70c | 44.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta United FC | 32c | 43.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Charlotte FC | 28c | 43.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Atlanta United FC | 39c | 39.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Atlanta United FC | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Charlotte FC | 68c | 33.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked Charlotte FC | 40c | 27.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Charlotte FC | 40c | 27.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta United FC | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atlanta United FC | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta United FC | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Atlanta United FC | 75c | 23.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Atlanta United FC | 75c | 20.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Atlanta United FC | 76c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Atlanta United FC | 76c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.