South American Leagues · resolved market

CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e64bc0ef7512e3ac786f1bb905e0b807827964997911dd0eb9d6d649c9925f0

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over	44c	13,404$5,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,918.82	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	55c	8,909$4,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,008.7	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over	54c	3,559$1,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,914.9	123	40.7%50 W · 73 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	2,086$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.14	1,362	44.9%611 W · 751 L	-22.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	35c	1,729$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.15	382	33%126 W · 256 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	48c	1,589$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.33	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	65c	1,429$929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.26	1,231	53.9%663 W · 568 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over	53c	1,406$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.93	118	17.8%21 W · 97 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	27c	1,129$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.5	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	46c	1,125$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.59	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	68c	1,059$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.02	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under	35c	1,044$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.79	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under	47c	1,009$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.76	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-7.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	54c	885.99$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.77	538	36.8%198 W · 340 L	-24.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over	35c	857.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	31c	823.27$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.04	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over	73c	814$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.22	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under	65c	776.64$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.82	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0159…2b48backed Under	65c	565.25$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	48c	540.91$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.41	552	50.2%277 W · 275 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over	46c	537.93$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Over	76c	450$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	36cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	55c	353.68$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.64	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	53c	351.99$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.92	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-28.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	66c	278.25$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.61	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	66c	212.84$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.37	668	37.1%248 W · 420 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	48c	205.88$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.41	457	46.8%214 W · 243 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under	73c	205.47$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.48	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under	70c	177.05$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.89	331	52.6%174 W · 157 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	45c	165.05$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	46c	155.46$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.95	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	17c	151.35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	289	40.1%116 W · 173 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over	53c	150.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.61	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	77c	150$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.64	352	46.9%165 W · 187 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Over	65c	150$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Under	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	40c	146.85$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.94	268	35.1%94 W · 174 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over	34c	107.06$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	182	47.8%87 W · 95 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over	35c	102.86$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	131	67.9%89 W · 42 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	34c	90.88$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.29	2,611	54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…85fbbacked Under	35c	90.26$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.67	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	65c	89.33$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.27	559	46%257 W · 302 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Over	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54a…f771backed Over	25c	83.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Under	49c	80$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked Over	75c	79.82$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	70cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over	75c	79.72$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	74	67.6%50 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under	32c	75.56$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.38	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	65c	61.86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.94	630	61.3%386 W · 244 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	56c	59.17$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	646	33.1%214 W · 432 L	-24.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…ac48backed Over	69c	51.64$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.63	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over	57c	50.84$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	270	31.5%85 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	33c	37.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	1,355	49.7%674 W · 681 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	31c	35$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	65c	33.71$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	146	43.2%63 W · 83 L	-9.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Under	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-4.0wins	-0.31per pick	61cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	54c	32.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	1,253	56.2%704 W · 549 L	+73.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb40b…8dcbbacked Over	48c	31.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Over	65c	23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	50c	20.96$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.52	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under	77c	20.11$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.71	109	35.8%39 W · 70 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under	68c	18.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.08	107	66.4%71 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab4…f8c6backed Under	79c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	71cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5this page
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 0.5Over won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5Over won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5Under won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 4.5Under won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: CA Aldosivi (-1.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)CA Aldosivi won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event