Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf476f42dc23023d99afbe37b42fd5de3e5254cdef33e861fd60211c84ced90ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 50c | 3,008$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 45c | 2,188$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.34 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 955$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.72 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 50c | 905.94$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.42 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 53c | 883.59$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.61 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 50c | 882.86$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.8 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 55c | 735.38$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.92 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 687.05$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 386.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 32c | 312.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 50c | 291.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 50c | 242.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 70c | 200.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 194.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 28c | 176.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 53c | 147.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 56c | 138.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 53c | 126$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…5993backed Over | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 58c | 116.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 55c | 101.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 97.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 13c | 91.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 90.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 68c | 84.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 46c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 64c | 75.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 47c | 68.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 56.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 55.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 68c | 53.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 54c | 53.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Over | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 48c | 36.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over | 51c | 34.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 33.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Over | 53c | 33.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0bd8backed Over | 60c | 32.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 54c | 28.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Over | 52c | 27.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Under | 43c | 24.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 68c | 20.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Incheon United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.