Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54fde7087556c0138a36822be970a4dd034d620d1a23dd5a4fb47a680826b5f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 512.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 381.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 60c | 341.62$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 59c | 338.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 302.83$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 42c | 301.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 281.28$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 60c | 133.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 129.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 100.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Under | 59c | 84.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 67.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 25c | 62.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 57.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 56.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 21c | 55.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 40c | 38.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 60c | 25.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Incheon United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.