Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d321f4b55031a03898bbc7c7118b498102fda0182ad9f0e8aaef4a8af70049c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Under | 1c | 1,997$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…753dbacked Over | 47c | 599.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 35c | 406.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.72 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 53c | 282.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 30c | 124.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 63c | 97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 94.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 69c | 93.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 14c | 73.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Over | 34c | 56.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 50.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 49.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 64c | 40.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 38c | 35.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 62c | 35.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 69c | 28.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 20.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Incheon United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.