South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a0d0360d530cd28cef178c03de8db3ac910a6eaa0607708f2add14cd2376a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 75c | 76,636$57,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,441.38 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 25,942$8,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,852.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 17,568$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.44 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 27c | 14,393$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.72 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 9,798$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.71 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 2c | 8,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 65c | 7,332$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.75 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 6,404$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.86 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 3c | 3,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 6c | 1,565$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,527$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 77c | 1,081$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 900$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 72c | 859.42$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 74c | 827.69$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 61c | 655.72$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.01 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 49c | 625.09$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Under | 4c | 612.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 19c | 593.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 12c | 491.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 27c | 362$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 33c | 307.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 18c | 294$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 13c | 264.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 55c | 252.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 79c | 210.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 50c | 191$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 29c | 164.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 7c | 146.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 27c | 138.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 28c | 132.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 79c | 130.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 74c | 117.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 59c | 105.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 27c | 103$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 53c | 93.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 26c | 91.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Under | 39c | 89.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 29c | 85.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 27c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 66.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 41c | 60.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Under | 34c | 57.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Over | 73c | 50.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Under | 73c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 30c | 41.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 61c | 41.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 31.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 76c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Club León FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.