South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7299fea3ad278af30d574ceb5a40e28492b8e454feab5101642f4a891ad909a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 59c | 3,486$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.08 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 52c | 3,173$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.99 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 2,513$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 2,455$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.31 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 1,752$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.14 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,622$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 72c | 1,270$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.89 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 45c | 880.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 46c | 877.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.4 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 47c | 855.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.02 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 764.69$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.22 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Under | 3c | 624.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 617.36$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.53 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 47c | 469.02$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 461.19$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 53c | 398.26$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.45 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 376$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 9c | 358.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Over | 29c | 353.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.33 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 332.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 6c | 286.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 47c | 233.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 46c | 217.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 46c | 217.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 70c | 187.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 69c | 125.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 9c | 121$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 41c | 96.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed Over | 53c | 47.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 29c | 42.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Over | 48c | 41.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 49c | 41.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 43c | 30.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 67c | 29.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 25.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 61c | 18.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: Club León FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.